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General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of transgender candidates who win election as Federal Deputy (Deputado Federal) in the specified elections. A candidate will be considered “transgender” if they declare a gender identity (Identidade de gênero) visible on the Brazilian candidature divulgence portal (Divulgação de Candidaturas e Contas Eleitorais, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/) on October 3, 2026, 12:00 PM Brasilia time, and that declared orientation is transgender (transgênero). This market will resolve according to gender identity declarations visible at the specified time. Future revisions, retractions, and withdrawals will not be considered. Candidates who abstain from declaring a transgender identity on the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. This market will include all candidates for the office of Federal Deputy (Deputado Federal) present on the candidature divulgence portal. Candidates for any other office will not be considered. A candidate will be considered to have won if they are elected to the office they are contesting, regardless of how many candidates may be elected to the same position. A candidate’s gender or sex self-description, rumors, and behavior outside of the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. The sexual orientation (orientação sexual) of the relevant candidates will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results and information as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
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